Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 5
BAN
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 4
WIM
6%
15%
79%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BRI
5 - 1
BAS
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 5
TAU
7%
15%
78%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 3
DID
5%
12%
84%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWI
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 2
TIV
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
WAN
1 - 4
SWI
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
DID
0 - 1
SWI
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 1
LAR
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |