Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
RUG
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
HIT
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BED
0 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 4
BAS
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SWI
5 - 1
RUG
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 3
CHI
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 1
RUG
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 0
SWI
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
0 - 2
CAM
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |