Bashley vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BED
0 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
AFT
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
STN
2 - 2
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 1
BID
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
CHI
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BID
1 - 0
STA
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
BED
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STA
2 - 3
WEY
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
RED
0 - 2
STA
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |