Bashley vs Sholing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOR
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
BAS
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 2
BUR
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TIV
9 - 0
BAS
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 5
MAR
6%
14%
80%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
4 - 1
BOU
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 4
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 3
SHO
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 0
SHO
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
SHO
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |