Non League Div One Southern SW Round 27

Bashley vs North Leigh analysis

Bashley North Leigh
11 ELO 36
7.3% Tilt 11.2%
10997º General ELO ranking 11829º
501º Country ELO ranking 526º
ELO win probability
6.3%
Bashley
14%
Draw
79.7%
North Leigh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
Bashley
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
79.7%
Win probability
North Leigh
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-10%
+4%
North Leigh

ELO progression

Bashley
North Leigh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
AFT
AFC Totton
4 - 0
Bashley
BAS
91%
7%
2%
12 29 17 0
01 Jan. 2015
BAS
Bashley
1 - 1
Sholing
SHO
11%
21%
68%
11 28 17 +1
27 Dec. 2014
WIM
Wimborne Town
1 - 1
Bashley
BAS
88%
9%
3%
10 30 20 +1
20 Dec. 2014
BAS
Bashley
2 - 4
Taunton Town
TAU
7%
16%
77%
11 39 28 -1
13 Dec. 2014
MER
Merthyr Town
6 - 0
Bashley
BAS
91%
7%
2%
11 46 35 0

Matches

North Leigh
North Leigh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2015
DID
Didcot Town
1 - 1
North Leigh
NOR
53%
22%
25%
36 39 3 0
26 Dec. 2014
NOR
North Leigh
6 - 0
Bishop's Cleeve
BIS
89%
8%
3%
36 16 20 0
20 Dec. 2014
WAN
Wantage Town
0 - 5
North Leigh
NOR
9%
14%
77%
35 13 22 +1
13 Dec. 2014
NOR
North Leigh
2 - 2
Fleet Town
FLE
81%
12%
7%
36 23 13 -1
10 Dec. 2014
NOR
North Leigh
1 - 0
Wimborne Town
WIM
53%
22%
26%
35 36 1 +1