Bashley vs Merthyr Tydfil FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 1
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
HEM
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
BED
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
NUN
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
LEA
5 - 3
MER
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
RUG
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 1
MER
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NUN
3 - 1
MER
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
EVE
45%
26%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |