Bashley vs Marlow FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 4
HED
61%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BEA
1 - 4
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TIV
0 - 5
BAS
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 3
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
DID
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marlow FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 4
SUT
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 2
MER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 2
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
YEL
2 - 3
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |