Bashley vs Mangotsfield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CLE
0 - 0
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BED
2 - 1
BAS
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
KIN
5 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
HIT
2 - 0
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Mangotsfield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
HEM
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 2
HAL
23%
28%
49%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
BED
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
CIR
67%
21%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |