Bashley vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BRO
3 - 5
BAS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
MOL
1 - 0
BAS
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
DUL
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 2
BAS
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LEA
0 - 0
DOR
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
LEA
1 - 0
ATK
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 2
LEA
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
CRA
2 - 2
LEA
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LEA
1 - 0
WHY
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |