Bashley vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
STO
5 - 0
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
CHE
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +4 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FRO
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 3
HIT
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 0
LEA
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LEA
0 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LEA
1 - 1
OXF
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HIT
0 - 0
LEA
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
LEA
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |