Bashley vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 5
BAS
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WHY
0 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 3
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
HOR
7 - 0
DOR
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 0
HOR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
HOR
5 - 0
WHY
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
HAS
0 - 3
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HOR
4 - 1
LEA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |