Bashley vs Fareham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
SHO
21%
24%
55%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOR
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
BAS
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 2
BUR
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TIV
9 - 0
BAS
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fareham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 4
ALR
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALR
1 - 1
FAR
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
FAR
4 - 0
VER
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
FAR
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 3
FAR
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |