Conference Premier Round 40

Bashley vs Evesham United analysis

Bashley Evesham United
36 ELO 31
5.8% Tilt 8.4%
11401º General ELO ranking 9028º
654º Country ELO ranking 434º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Bashley
20.2%
Draw
15.7%
Evesham United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Bashley
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
Evesham United
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
+2%
-1%
Evesham United

ELO progression

Bashley
Evesham United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2012
BAS
Bashley
4 - 4
AFC Totton
AFT
27%
25%
48%
36 47 11 0
07 Apr. 2012
CIR
Cirencester Town
0 - 1
Bashley
BAS
33%
24%
44%
35 29 6 +1
31 Mar. 2012
BAS
Bashley
0 - 2
Barwell
BAR
42%
23%
35%
37 40 3 -2
24 Mar. 2012
RED
Redditch United
2 - 2
Bashley
BAS
43%
24%
33%
37 36 1 0
20 Mar. 2012
BAS
Bashley
0 - 0
Arlesey Town
ARL
40%
25%
36%
37 41 4 0

Matches

Evesham United
Evesham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2012
EVE
Evesham United
2 - 3
Cirencester Town
CIR
52%
24%
24%
33 28 5 0
07 Apr. 2012
RED
Redditch United
3 - 1
Evesham United
EVE
55%
23%
22%
34 35 1 -1
31 Mar. 2012
EVE
Evesham United
0 - 0
Bedford Town
BED
29%
25%
46%
33 39 6 +1
24 Mar. 2012
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 0
Evesham United
EVE
67%
20%
13%
34 44 10 -1
20 Mar. 2012
EVE
Evesham United
0 - 2
Chesham United
CHE
31%
27%
43%
36 43 7 -2