Bashley vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LEA
4 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
RED
0 - 0
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
ARL
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
3 - 2
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
ARL
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BED
0 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
HIT
1 - 3
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |