Bashley vs Bideford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
AFT
3 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
STN
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
WHI
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BIG
0 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
BAN
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 2
BID
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BID
1 - 1
BIG
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BID
4 - 0
AFT
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
BID
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HEM
4 - 1
BID
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |