Basford United vs Three Bridges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
RUG
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
COA
0 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
THR
9 - 0
LEW
20%
21%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEW
1 - 1
THR
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
THR
3 - 2
HUL
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
THR
2 - 1
ERI
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 0
THR
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |