Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 0
STG
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 2
YOB
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SIO
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |