Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
5 - 0
KRA
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MEY
0 - 3
BAS
5%
11%
85%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
18%
21%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
ZUR
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
YOB
4 - 0
ZUR
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 2
ZUR
13%
17%
70%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 1
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |