Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 2
LAU
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 1
HOF
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 4
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |