Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MTA
3 - 3
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
STG
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
MTA
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 2
SLI
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 3
YOB
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 0
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |