Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
YOB
3 - 2
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FCL
5 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
SCP
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BEL
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCV
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 3
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |