Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
57%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
SIO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
GCZ
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
YOB
2 - 3
ZUR
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SCH
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 3
ZUR
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |