Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
STG
1 - 4
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
66%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 4
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
SIO
3 - 3
ZUR
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |