Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
WIL
4 - 5
BAS
30%
23%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
YOB
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
WIL
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
YOB
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 0
ZUR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
ZUR
2 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
31%
25%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |