Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1998 |
FCA
5 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIO
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 0
SOL
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
KRI
1 - 3
BAS
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
BAS
4 - 1
YOB
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1998 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
FCL
3 - 2
ZUR
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
SIO
3 - 2
ZUR
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |