Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
BAS
2 - 1
LAU
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 2
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
LAU
0 - 0
ZUR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |