Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1984 |
NEX
0 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCW
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
VEV
3 - 3
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 5
STG
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
WIN
1 - 2
BAS
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1984 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
NEX
5 - 2
ZUR
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |