Basel vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCA
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
GCZ
2 - 3
BAS
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 0
CEL
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
THU
4 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 3
FCL
83%
12%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 5
THU
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
STG
2 - 2
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |