Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CSK
0 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GCZ
0 - 0
BAS
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 0
SLB
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
FCL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
STG
3 - 0
THU
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
THU
2 - 2
GCZ
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
THU
10%
17%
73%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |