Basel vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TUG
1 - 3
BAS
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
STB
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
STB
1 - 1
BAS
30%
24%
45%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 1
THU
32%
25%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
THU
0 - 2
DYN
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
STG
0 - 0
THU
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
DYN
3 - 0
THU
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |