Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
OMO
1 - 1
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAS
10%
17%
74%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 1
OMO
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
STG
3 - 1
YOB
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
STG
10%
16%
75%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCL
2 - 0
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
STG
2 - 1
SER
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 3
STG
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |