Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
ADO
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
STG
1 - 4
GCZ
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 1
STG
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
STG
0 - 2
NEX
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
STG
0 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |