Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
7 - 0
FOL
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SER
1 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 5
BAS
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
YVE
1 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
GAL
2 - 2
STG
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
STG
3 - 1
SIO
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
34%
24%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2000 |
STG
1 - 2
GAL
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
STG
3 - 1
LAU
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |