Basel vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
KRI
3 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
STG
3 - 2
ETO
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
LAU
3 - 0
STG
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
FCL
2 - 1
STG
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
STG
3 - 0
NEX
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |