Basel vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
MTA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MTA
0 - 0
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
RIE
1 - 3
RBS
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
6 - 3
RAP
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
3 - 1
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
6 - 1
AWM
65%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 3
RBS
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |