Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-4
Basel vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 4
BAS
15%
21%
63%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 3
STU
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
44%
22%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 2
WOL
61%
22%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 0
ARI
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NIC
3 - 2
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |