Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
THU
1 - 2
BAS
18%
22%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
ZUR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 1
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NEX
1 - 1
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |