Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 1
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
NEX
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
BBS
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
NEX
3 - 2
YOB
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
NEX
73%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
NEX
4 - 1
GCZ
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 1
NEX
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |