Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 17

Basel vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Basel Neuchâtel Xamax
82 ELO 72
18.1% Tilt 5.2%
246º General ELO ranking 1599º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Basel
17.5%
Draw
12.8%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
Basel
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.8%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basel
+18%
-5%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Basel
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2001
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
81 77 4 0
14 Oct. 2001
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 4
Basel
BAS
39%
25%
36%
81 77 4 0
10 Oct. 2001
BAS
Basel
2 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
54%
22%
24%
81 81 0 0
01 Oct. 2001
SER
Servette
1 - 4
Basel
BAS
50%
24%
26%
81 82 1 0
26 Sep. 2001
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
57%
22%
22%
80 78 2 +1

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
43%
25%
33%
72 76 4 0
14 Oct. 2001
STG
St. Gallen
4 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
64%
20%
16%
72 81 9 0
10 Oct. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 3
Servette
SER
33%
25%
42%
73 81 8 -1
29 Sep. 2001
SIO
Sion
0 - 4
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
54%
24%
22%
72 76 4 +1
22 Sep. 2001
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 1
Luzern
FCL
58%
22%
20%
71 66 5 +1