Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 2
ATH
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
2 - 1
OSI
49%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
OSI
2 - 0
FCL
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
STR
4 - 4
FCL
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 1
FCL
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |