Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
KRI
0 - 1
BAS
9%
17%
74%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 3
SIO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SIO
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
STG
3 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NEX
1 - 2
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 3
STG
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |