Basel vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
KRI
3 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
FCL
1 - 1
ETO
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
GCZ
3 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
FCL
0 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCL
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |