Super League round 10

Basel vs FC Lugano analysis

Basel FC Lugano
84 ELO 68
2.2% Tilt 29.8%
208º General ELO ranking 215º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.7%
Basel
18.5%
Draw
10.7%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
Basel
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.7%
Win probability
FC Lugano
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basel
+2%
+4%
FC Lugano

ELO progression

Basel
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2015
YOB
Young Boys
4 - 3
Basel
BAS
35%
23%
42%
84 79 5 0
20 Sep. 2015
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 4
Basel
BAS
9%
15%
76%
85 51 34 -1
17 Sep. 2015
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Basel
BAS
52%
23%
25%
84 88 4 +1
12 Sep. 2015
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
68%
19%
13%
84 72 12 0
30 Aug. 2015
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
84 76 8 0

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2015
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
68 76 8 0
19 Sep. 2015
BEL
AC Bellinzona
2 - 3
FC Lugano
LUG
41%
25%
34%
67 65 2 +1
13 Sep. 2015
SIO
Sion
3 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
59%
23%
18%
68 78 10 -1
29 Aug. 2015
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Luzern
FCL
25%
24%
52%
69 79 10 -1
22 Aug. 2015
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 3
Basel
BAS
19%
21%
61%
69 84 15 0