Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
7º
5º
44
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
PYU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 1
BAS
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 5
BAS
3%
11%
85%
|
83 | 22 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GCZ
3 - 0
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
GCZ
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 4
GCZ
7%
15%
79%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 2
GCZ
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |