Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SIO
0 - 1
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
SLB
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 5
BAS
6%
15%
79%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 4
SER
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
YOB
0 - 1
GCZ
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
GCZ
15%
21%
64%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GCZ
3 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GCZ
0 - 1
NEX
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |