Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
YOB
3 - 2
BAS
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
FCL
5 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
SCP
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GCZ
0 - 1
YOB
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 3
GCZ
25%
26%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GCZ
1 - 0
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |