Basel vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
SIO
1 - 4
BAS
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
SER
0 - 2
BAS
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAS
53%
21%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 5
GCZ
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SER
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 3
GCZ
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
GCZ
0 - 0
LAU
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
SIO
1 - 1
GCZ
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |