Basel vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 3
GCZ
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
STG
3 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
TOB
0 - 0
BAS
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
FCV
2 - 3
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCV
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
FCV
0 - 1
UJP
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
FCV
4 - 2
SER
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
UJP
0 - 4
FCV
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +2 |