Basel vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
GCZ
0 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
FCG
1 - 0
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
STG
3 - 2
FCG
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
FCW
0 - 0
FCG
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
FCG
1 - 0
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCG
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
FCG
1 - 1
LAU
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |