Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 4
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
STG
2 - 2
BAS
28%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
FCP
4 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
THU
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 6
BAS
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
23%
24%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 2
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |